Millwall Forum - Cup Draw Fallacy
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Cup Draw Fallacy
06 December 2017 12:44 Post ID: #1563047
MO Youth
0
A team loses in the cup and then the draw for the next round is made. The winning team receive a 'plum' draw. Then the losing team is meant to regret even more that they lost because they missed out on that draw. I hear this just about every season in some form and its getting really annoying.
The thinking behind this is erroneous. If that 'unlucky' team had actually won then we would be on a different timeline, or in another quantum many-worlds if you like that theory. You could call it a different universe.
What is clear is that a different draw would also follow, based on the same rules of chance. The chances of getting the same draw would not be equal until the semi-final draw so the chances of getting that 'plum' draw would be very unlikely if the losing team had actually won.

Anyway, Barnsley is pretty shit.
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06 December 2017 12:49 Post ID: #1563048 - in reply to #1563047
Supreme MO
500020005001002525
I can see why you had to get this off your chest, yes Barnsley is a shit draw.
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06 December 2017 12:55 Post ID: #1563049 - in reply to #1563048
GeroniMO
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coldblower - 6/12/2017 12:49

I can see why you had to get this off your chest, yes Barnsley is a shit draw.
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06 December 2017 13:25 Post ID: #1563052 - in reply to #1563047
MOnster
5000500050001000
There was a penis at the cup draw?
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06 December 2017 13:38 Post ID: #1563053 - in reply to #1563048
MOby Dick
100
coldblower - 6/12/2017 12:49

I can see why you had to get this off your chest, yes Barnsley is a shit draw.


That's what they say about us on their forum the cheeky bastards.
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06 December 2017 14:59 Post ID: #1563054 - in reply to #1563052
GeroniMO
2000252525
numbernine - 6/12/2017 13:25

There was a penis at the cup draw?


An erroneous penis.
That's why we ended up playing......erm...please remind me?
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06 December 2017 15:53 Post ID: #1563056 - in reply to #1563052
Legend MO
2000100050025
numbernine - 6/12/2017 13:25You

There was a penis at the cup draw?

I always thought he was a bit
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